Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-13 1860.617753 2032.965028 2209.335297 2403.042868 2609.534594 2822.792873 3059.407075
2024-10-20 1577.901830 1829.990357 2099.462225 2407.854786 2749.903321 3116.545353 3538.129489
2024-10-27 1342.431804 1631.369434 1950.831917 2327.998483 2758.800347 3233.212538 3792.771569
2024-11-03 1255.272572 1582.887831 1954.815935 2404.579612 2929.865757 3520.099320 4229.428941
2024-11-10 1169.690746 1525.177858 1938.442066 2448.914671 3056.813921 3751.860911 4600.623832
2024-11-17 1073.932214 1446.037632 1888.511319 2446.080179 3122.170185 3907.640016 4880.894373
2024-11-24 978.861966 1359.875152 1822.938363 2417.663026 3151.199069 4016.222861 5102.593965
2024-12-01 920.604422 1315.117125 1803.949291 2442.323405 3241.415515 4195.909552 5408.499675
2024-12-08 857.642384 1259.650207 1767.380593 2441.331486 3297.117674 4332.005434 5661.221116
2024-12-15 821.864130 1237.126418 1770.489297 2488.589742 3411.777674 4540.028085 6002.754574
2024-12-22 763.127030 1179.957784 1725.195850 2470.579541 3441.556201 4641.555824 6212.665359
2024-12-29 738.414154 1167.548848 1737.425034 2526.310055 3565.036838 4860.426616 6569.878628
2025-01-05 695.747411 1128.480348 1713.060795 2533.773011 3627.416130 5005.031291 6838.898650
2025-01-12 655.333646 1090.325763 1688.029832 2538.862786 3685.959150 5145.015132 7103.677726
2025-01-19 588.609345 1009.901086 1600.710172 2455.678260 3624.321235 5127.783297 7165.878371
2025-01-26 579.690209 1014.464782 1632.181984 2535.452402 3780.847391 5394.476145 7595.243960
2025-02-02 560.973830 1002.983971 1639.872181 2581.625023 3892.091079 5602.858762 7951.114824
2025-02-09 528.927596 969.129626 1613.620889 2578.673285 3935.477629 5721.646328 8190.886954
2025-02-16 491.613118 924.825889 1570.013099 2549.078909 3940.615447 5788.658465 8362.432947
2025-02-23 471.974094 907.537389 1565.438638 2574.761066 4022.030327 5957.790062 8669.867376
2025-03-02 446.584707 879.426757 1543.271741 2573.728095 4065.299760 6075.421974 8909.523123
2025-03-09 435.448128 874.215473 1555.475952 2622.937882 4179.711360 6290.276761 9280.859863
2025-03-16 408.432888 840.749267 1522.714159 2604.184987 4196.509494 6371.663175 9473.197237